St. Johnstone 1-1 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Mar 2024

St. Johnstone
1-1 HT 0-1
Livingston
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

St. Johnstone vs Livingston Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2.06
2-3 Goals
36%
1.83
4-5 Goals
15%
6.28
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
13%
4.29
X/2
9%
6.48
X/X
21%
3.44
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.71
2/X
7%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.6pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.4pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.7pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Johnstone v Livingston — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -25%
1.12/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.20
-39% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
248 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 66%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
22.3 Crosses 15.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

St. Johnstone vs Livingston Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Livingston
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 Passes 252
63% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
30.09.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-1 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.05.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
15.04.2023 Livingston Livingston 2-0 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
14.01.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-4 HT 0-3 Livingston Livingston İKP
15.10.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

St. Johnstone 1-1 Livingston — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
1-1
AWAY Livingston
1.09 xG 0.54
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
238 Passes 115
59% Pass Accuracy 42%
12 Box Touches 16
31 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Johnstone and Livingston couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 60% of the ball to Livingston's 40%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.09 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Livingston led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.33 for Livingston.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Livingston?

St. Johnstone 1-1 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Johnstone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 39%, draw 34%, Livingston 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (St. Johnstone), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Johnstone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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