Dundee FC 2-2 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.03
6+ Goals
10%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.28
1/2
10%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
14%
5.82
X/2
10%
4.96
X/X
15%
4.32
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.42
2/X
7%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -19%
1.32/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.19
+10% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
21.3 Crosses 24.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.01 xG 2.12
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
182 Passes 316
62% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 30
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.01.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
30.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.09.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
24.05.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL
20.05.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
06.02.2019 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-2 HT 2-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-2
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.53 xG 1.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
260 Passes 211
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 52% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 48%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.53 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Dundee FC and 1.67 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?

Dundee FC 2-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 32%, draw 30%, Kilmarnock 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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