02/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
Barwell vs Halesowen Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
26%
Draw
24%
26%
Away Win
27%
44%
Under 2.5
41%
56%
Over 2.5
59%
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
44%
BTTS No
40%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barwell v Halesowen Town — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Barwell
EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Halesowen Town
EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-7%
1.79/1.33
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.10/1.72
+1%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-16%
/
-4%
50%
Ball Possession
50%
16
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
6
390 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
Barwell vs Halesowen Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Barwell
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Halesowen Town
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
4
Total Shots
9
1
Shots on Target
5
2
Corners
3
0
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
14.11.2023
Halesowen Town
1-1
HT 1-0
Barwell
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 1-0
Barwell
İNGNLP
POST-MATCH
Barwell vs Halesowen Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Barwell saw off Halesowen Town 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barwell as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Barwell vs Halesowen Town?
Barwell 2-0 Halesowen Town in the England - Non League Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barwell vs Halesowen Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Barwell 48%, draw 26%, Halesowen Town 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Barwell)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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İNGNLP
More England - Non League Premier
2 Mar 2024