Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Whitby Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Whitby Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.36/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.95
-10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +58%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Whitby Town
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
04.02.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 0-6 HT 0-2 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
23.04.2022 Whitby Town Whitby Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
28.08.2021 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 1-0 HT 1-0 Whitby Town Whitby Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity saw off Whitby Town 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 30% / 30% — and on the day Gainsborough Trinity made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 0.50 for Whitby Town.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town?

Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 Whitby Town in the England - Non League Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Whitby Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 40%, draw 30%, Whitby Town 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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