United of Manchester 1-3 Workington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.33
Over 2.5
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.5
No
51%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
62%
-13.5pp
51%
BTTS No
38%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Workington EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.97/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.46
+19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME United of Manchester
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Workington
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Workington Workington 2-1 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
POST-MATCH United of Manchester vs Workington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Workington saw off United of Manchester 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Workington made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of United of Manchester vs Workington?

United of Manchester 1-3 Workington in the England - Non League Premier on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United of Manchester vs Workington?

Before kick-off our model rated a United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split United of Manchester 40%, draw 29%, Workington 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✗ BTTS No
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