Algeciras 1-1 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.85
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-5.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+5.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.45/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.96
-5% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Granada II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Granada II Granada II 1-1 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
04.01.2020 Granada II Granada II 0-0 HT 0-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
31.07.2019 Algeciras Algeciras 1-0 HT 1-0 Granada II Granada II HAZ
20.04.2014 Algeciras Algeciras 1-2 HT 0-2 Granada II Granada II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
1-1
AWAY Granada II
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras and Granada II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Algeciras at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Algeciras had 59% of the ball to Granada II's 41%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Algeciras and 0.75 for Granada II.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Granada II?

Algeciras 1-1 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 43%, draw 28%, Granada II 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Algeciras), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Algeciras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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