Fuenlabrada 2-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
16%
5.82
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+1.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-1.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.91/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.20
-19% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +150%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
243 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fuenlabrada
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ponferradina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.40 xG 1.20
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
225 Passes 320
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-0 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
23.04.2022 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-3 HT 2-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
17.10.2021 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS2
10.04.2021 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-0 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS2
25.11.2020 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 1-1 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
01.07.2020 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-3 HT 0-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fuenlabrada
2-1
AWAY Ponferradina
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fuenlabrada vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fuenlabrada squeezed past Ponferradina 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Fuenlabrada made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Fuenlabrada had 48% of the ball to Ponferradina's 52%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ponferradina led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fuenlabrada and 0.83 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Fuenlabrada vs Ponferradina?

Fuenlabrada 2-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fuenlabrada vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fuenlabrada win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Fuenlabrada 36%, draw 31%, Ponferradina 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fuenlabrada) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fuenlabrada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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