Arenteiro 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.08
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
16%
6.18
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.1pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.8pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 40%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +4%
1.98/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.86
+87% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 12.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenteiro
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenteiro
0-1
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arenteiro vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona squeezed past Arenteiro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Gimnastic Tarragona found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arenteiro had 62% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 38%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of Arenteiro vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Arenteiro 0-1 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenteiro vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenteiro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Arenteiro 37%, draw 27%, Gimnastic Tarragona 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Arenteiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Arenteiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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