Athletic Bilbao II 3-1 Mutilvera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.32
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.33
No
58%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
71%
-16.0pp
28%
Draw
18%
+9.5pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
39%
+3.6pp
58%
BTTS No
61%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Mutilvera EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.00/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/0.75
+26% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / +40%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 9.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mutilvera
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.10.2023 Mutilvera Mutilvera 0-3 HT 0-3 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao II
3-1
AWAY Mutilvera
72% Ball Possession 28%
21 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao II vs Mutilvera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao II got the better of Mutilvera 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Athletic Bilbao II as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao II had 72% of the ball to Mutilvera's 28%, shots finished 21-3.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao II vs Mutilvera?

Athletic Bilbao II 3-1 Mutilvera in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao II vs Mutilvera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao II win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao II 55%, draw 28%, Mutilvera 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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