Badalona 1-0 Espanyol II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.2pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol II EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.90/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.35
-35% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
368 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Badalona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Espanyol II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.10.2023 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
05.03.2023 Badalona Badalona 1-1 HT 0-0 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
16.10.2022 Espanyol II Espanyol II 3-1 HT 1-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
06.02.2022 Badalona Badalona 3-3 HT 1-1 Espanyol II Espanyol II İS4
19.09.2021 Espanyol II Espanyol II 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
27.02.2021 Espanyol II Espanyol II 0-2 HT 0-2 Badalona Badalona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona
1-0
AWAY Espanyol II
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Badalona vs Espanyol II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona edged past Espanyol II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Badalona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Badalona had 28% of the ball to Espanyol II's 72%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Espanyol II led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Badalona and 1.50 for Espanyol II.

What was the final score of Badalona vs Espanyol II?

Badalona 1-0 Espanyol II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona vs Espanyol II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Badalona 43%, draw 29%, Espanyol II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Badalona), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Badalona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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