Estepona 3-1 San Roque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.51
Over 2.5
44%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY San Roque EU Bookmakers 22%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.50/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
-4% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
234 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estepona
1W-0D-0L
AWAY San Roque
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
22.10.2023 San Roque San Roque 0-1 HT 0-0 Estepona Estepona İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
3-1
AWAY San Roque
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estepona vs San Roque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona beat San Roque 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Estepona as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estepona had 43% of the ball to San Roque's 57%, shots finished 5-15.

What was the final score of Estepona vs San Roque?

Estepona 3-1 San Roque in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs San Roque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estepona 43%, draw 29%, San Roque 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estepona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estepona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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