Brescia 4-2 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Mar 2024

Brescia
4-2 HT 4-2
Palermo
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Brescia vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.92
6+ Goals
9%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.24
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
12%
13.25
X/1
11%
5.9
X/2
12%
5.11
X/X
9%
4.28
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
18%
3.46
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brescia v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brescia EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +16%
1.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.19
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.6 Crosses 20.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Brescia vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brescia
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Palermo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.72 xG 0.81
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
304 Passes 334
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2023 Palermo Palermo 1-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
19.05.2023 Palermo Palermo 2-2 HT 2-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
26.12.2022 Brescia Brescia 1-1 HT 0-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.02.2019 Palermo Palermo 1-1 HT 0-0 Brescia Brescia İTB
25.09.2018 Brescia Brescia 2-1 HT 2-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
27.01.2018 Palermo Palermo 2-0 HT 1-0 Brescia Brescia İTB

Brescia 4-2 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brescia
4-2
AWAY Palermo
1.47 xG 1.52
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 280
89% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brescia vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brescia saw off Palermo 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Brescia made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brescia had 60% of the ball to Palermo's 40%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.47 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palermo led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brescia and 1.33 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Brescia vs Palermo?

Brescia 4-2 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brescia vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brescia 33%, draw 30%, Palermo 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✗ Under 2.5
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