Südtirol 1-0 Lecco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.36
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.55
X/1
17%
4.24
X/2
8%
7.1
X/X
15%
3.67
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
16%
6.05
2/X
6%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.5pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Südtirol EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lecco EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
1.54/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.36
+30% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
12.5 Crosses 25.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Südtirol
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Lecco
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.03
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
287 Passes 275
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 0-0 Südtirol Südtirol İTB
02.04.2022 Südtirol Südtirol 1-1 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
28.11.2021 Lecco Lecco 0-1 HT 0-1 Südtirol Südtirol İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Südtirol
1-0
AWAY Lecco
0.82 xG 0.21
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 4
450 Passes 149
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 8
30 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Südtirol vs Lecco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Südtirol nicked a narrow win over Lecco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Südtirol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Südtirol had 69% of the ball to Lecco's 31%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.82 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Südtirol and 1.00 for Lecco.

What was the final score of Südtirol vs Lecco?

Südtirol 1-0 Lecco in the Italy - Serie B on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Südtirol vs Lecco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Südtirol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Südtirol 42%, draw 27%, Lecco 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Südtirol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Südtirol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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