Arezzo 3-0 Ancona 1905 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.44
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.89
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arezzo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Ancona 1905 EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.17/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
-12% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arezzo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ancona 1905
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Ancona 1905 Ancona 1905 3-0 HT 1-0 Arezzo Arezzo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arezzo
3-0
AWAY Ancona 1905
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arezzo vs Ancona 1905
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arezzo swept aside Ancona 1905 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Arezzo found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arezzo had 51% of the ball to Ancona 1905's 49%, shots finished 17-5.

What was the final score of Arezzo vs Ancona 1905?

Arezzo 3-0 Ancona 1905 in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arezzo vs Ancona 1905?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arezzo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Arezzo 40%, draw 29%, Ancona 1905 31%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arezzo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arezzo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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