Brindisi 1-3 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.41
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brindisi EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 43%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
0.49/2.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.55
-55% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
255 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brindisi
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 22
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 6
26.10.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 Brindisi Brindisi İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brindisi
1-3
AWAY ACR Messina
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brindisi vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ACR Messina beat Brindisi 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ACR Messina as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brindisi had 53% of the ball to ACR Messina's 47%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Brindisi vs ACR Messina?

Brindisi 1-3 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brindisi vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated an ACR Messina win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brindisi 32%, draw 26%, ACR Messina 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ACR Messina) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ACR Messina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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