Benevento 1-0 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.68
2-3 Goals
46%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benevento EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
2.00/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.47
+16% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
311 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Benevento
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.60 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
384 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 0-0 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTC
23.02.2019 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 0-0 Benevento Benevento İTB
30.09.2018 Benevento Benevento 1-3 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTB
09.12.2015 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 3-2 HT 3-1 Benevento Benevento İTCK
20.09.2015 Benevento Benevento 1-0 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benevento
1-0
AWAY Foggia Calcio
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Benevento vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benevento nicked a narrow win over Foggia Calcio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benevento as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Benevento had 48% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 52%, shots finished 10-16.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Benevento and 1.40 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Benevento 1-0 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benevento vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benevento win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Benevento 52%, draw 27%, Foggia Calcio 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benevento), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Benevento) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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