Crotone 2-3 SSC Giugliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.54
6+ Goals
12%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-9.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY SSC Giugliano EU Bookmakers 20%
-4% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.48/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.62
-15% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
410 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
3W-0D-0L
AWAY SSC Giugliano
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2023 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 1-2 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
23.04.2023 Crotone Crotone 3-1 HT 2-0 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano İTC
18.12.2022 SSC Giugliano SSC Giugliano 2-3 HT 1-1 Crotone Crotone İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-3
AWAY SSC Giugliano
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Crotone vs SSC Giugliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SSC Giugliano nicked a narrow win over Crotone 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Crotone at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Crotone had 52% of the ball to SSC Giugliano's 48%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Crotone and 1.33 for SSC Giugliano.

What was the final score of Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Crotone 2-3 SSC Giugliano in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs SSC Giugliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Crotone 51%, draw 25%, SSC Giugliano 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ BTTS No
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