Hume City 4-0 Port Melbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 38%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.25/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.45
-11% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses 17.4
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Port Melbourne
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 10
224 Passes 376
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.08.2023 Hume City Hume City 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
06.05.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-0 HT 1-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
28.05.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-2 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
26.02.2022 Hume City Hume City 3-3 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
11.07.2021 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-3 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
10.04.2021 Hume City Hume City 2-1 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Port Melbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hume City cruised past Port Melbourne 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Hume City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hume City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hume City and 1.50 for Port Melbourne.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Port Melbourne?

Hume City 4-0 Port Melbourne in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Port Melbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hume City 38%, draw 28%, Port Melbourne 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hume City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hume City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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