Marconi Stallions 2-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over Pick
66%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
33%
4-5
32%
6+
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.0pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marconi Stallions The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit The Market 17%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.76/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.32
-2% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 12.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marconi Stallions
2W-0D-0L
AWAY NWS Spirit
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.60 xG 1.14
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
262 Passes 385
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.07.2023 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions 5-1 HT 3-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
07.04.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 0-2 HT 0-1 Marconi Stallions Marconi Stallions AVNPL
POST-MATCH Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marconi Stallions squeezed past NWS Spirit 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marconi Stallions as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Marconi Stallions had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Marconi Stallions and 0.50 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?

Marconi Stallions 2-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marconi Stallions win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Marconi Stallions 54%, draw 23%, NWS Spirit 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marconi Stallions), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marconi Stallions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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