Bengaluru 1-0 Kerala Blasters — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bengaluru EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerala Blasters EU Bookmakers 33%
+24% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -8%
1.18/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.41
+11% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 68%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
14.6 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bengaluru
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kerala Blasters
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
244 Passes 312
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2023 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 2-1 HT 0-0 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
18.08.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 2-2 HT 1-1 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINDK
16.04.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-1 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HINSK
03.03.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 0-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
11.02.2023 Bengaluru Bengaluru 1-0 HT 1-0 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters HİNSL
11.12.2022 Kerala Blasters Kerala Blasters 3-2 HT 2-1 Bengaluru Bengaluru HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bengaluru
1-0
AWAY Kerala Blasters
0.76 xG 0.24
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
289 Passes 202
76% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bengaluru nicked a narrow win over Kerala Blasters 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Bengaluru found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bengaluru had 55% of the ball to Kerala Blasters's 45%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.76 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bengaluru and 1.33 for Kerala Blasters.

What was the final score of Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters?

Bengaluru 1-0 Kerala Blasters in the India - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bengaluru vs Kerala Blasters?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bengaluru win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bengaluru 40%, draw 31%, Kerala Blasters 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bengaluru), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bengaluru) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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HİNSL More India - Super League
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