Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Punjab FC v Mumbai City — Team-Based Signals
Punjab FC vs Mumbai City Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Punjab FC
HİNSL
Punjab FC 2-3 Mumbai City — Actual Match Statistics
Mumbai City nicked a narrow win over Punjab FC 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mumbai City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Punjab FC had 36% of the ball to Mumbai City's 64%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.78 to 2.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Mumbai City's control.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mumbai City led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Punjab FC and 2.50 for Mumbai City.
What was the final score of Punjab FC vs Mumbai City?
Punjab FC 2-3 Mumbai City in the India - Super League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Punjab FC vs Mumbai City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mumbai City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Punjab FC 30%, draw 27%, Mumbai City 43%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mumbai City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.