Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Tlaxcala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Mar 2024

Correcaminos UAT
1-1 HT 0-0
Tlaxcala
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Correcaminos UAT v Tlaxcala — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Tlaxcala EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.83/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.89
+10% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tlaxcala
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Tlaxcala 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
22.04.2023 Tlaxcala 0-0 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
24.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-2 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
25.03.2022 Tlaxcala 4-0 HT 1-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
02.09.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 1-1 HT 0-0 Tlaxcala MEK2
18.03.2021 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Tlaxcala MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Correcaminos UAT at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tlaxcala led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 1.33 for Tlaxcala.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala?

Correcaminos UAT 1-1 Tlaxcala in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 49%, draw 25%, Tlaxcala 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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