02/03/2024
·
18:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-0
2nd Score
1-0
Pachuca U23 vs Juarez U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
30%
Draw
26%
24%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pachuca U23 v Juarez U23 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Pachuca U23
EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY
Juarez U23
EU Bookmakers 21%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+150%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
58%
Ball Possession
42%
12
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
4
384 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
230 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Pachuca U23 vs Juarez U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Pachuca U23 squeezed past Juarez U23 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Pachuca U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Pachuca U23 vs Juarez U23?
Pachuca U23 2-1 Juarez U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pachuca U23 vs Juarez U23?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pachuca U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pachuca U23 45%, draw 30%, Juarez U23 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pachuca U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Pachuca U23)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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MEK2
More Mexico - Primera A
2 Mar 2024