Cruz Azul U23 1-2 Guadalajara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 2 Mar 2024

Cruz Azul U23
1-2
Guadalajara U23
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera A – 2023/2024

Cruz Azul U23 vs Guadalajara U23 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
Over 2.5
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.9pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cruz Azul U23 v Guadalajara U23 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cruz Azul U23 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadalajara U23 EU Bookmakers 21%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+65% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
488 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Cruz Azul U23 vs Guadalajara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guadalajara U23 edged past Cruz Azul U23 2-1 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cruz Azul U23 at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Cruz Azul U23 vs Guadalajara U23?

Cruz Azul U23 1-2 Guadalajara U23 in the Mexico - Primera A on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cruz Azul U23 vs Guadalajara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul U23 56%, draw 19%, Guadalajara U23 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Cruz Azul U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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