Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

Atletico San Luis
4-0 HT 2-0
Puebla
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Atletico San Luis vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.22
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.01
6+ Goals
9%
9.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
52%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Puebla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.56/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.47
+34% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.1 Crosses 17.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Atletico San Luis vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Puebla
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
232 Passes 337
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
31.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.03.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
11.09.2021 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
18.04.2021 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 1-4 HT 0-1 Puebla Puebla MEK

Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
4-0
AWAY Puebla
1.86 xG 0.09
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
578 Passes 250
92% Pass Accuracy 79%
35 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis ran out comfortable winners over Puebla 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 66% of the ball to Puebla's 34%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.86 to 0.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atletico San Luis and 1.33 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?

Atletico San Luis 4-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 44%, draw 27%, Puebla 30%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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