Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.16
6+ Goals
11%
20.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 36%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.54/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.55
+1% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.2 Crosses 16.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
246 Passes 297
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
24.04.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 0-2 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
11.09.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 3-3 HT 2-1 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
17.04.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 0-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
31.10.2021 Queretaro Queretaro 2-3 HT 0-2 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
09.05.2021 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 5-0 HT 2-0 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
0-1
AWAY Santos Laguna
0.29 xG 1.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
227 Passes 385
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 11
32 Crosses 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna edged past Queretaro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Queretaro at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Queretaro had 42% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.29 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queretaro and 2.00 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Santos Laguna?

Queretaro 0-1 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queretaro win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 43%, draw 25%, Santos Laguna 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Queretaro), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queretaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK More Mexico - Primera
2 Mar 2024
04:00 Atletico San Luis vs Puebla Analysis →
06:00 Mazatlan vs Necaxa Analysis →