Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Mar 2024

Mazatlan
2-1 HT 0-0
Necaxa
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.95
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.95
6+ Goals
12%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.9pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mazatlan v Necaxa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Necaxa EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.36/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.21
+4% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 74%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
16.4 Crosses 17.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7

Mazatlan vs Necaxa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mazatlan
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Necaxa
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 283
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.11.2023 Necaxa Necaxa 4-0 HT 2-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
18.03.2023 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-1 HT 0-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
24.09.2022 Necaxa Necaxa 2-2 HT 1-2 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
02.03.2022 Mazatlan Mazatlan 0-0 HT 0-0 Necaxa Necaxa MEK
30.10.2021 Necaxa Necaxa 2-1 HT 1-0 Mazatlan Mazatlan MEK
09.01.2021 Mazatlan Mazatlan 3-2 HT 2-1 Necaxa Necaxa MEK

Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mazatlan
2-1
AWAY Necaxa
2.23 xG 1.46
75% Ball Possession 25%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
550 Passes 140
86% Pass Accuracy 65%
33 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mazatlan vs Necaxa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan edged past Necaxa 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mazatlan as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Mazatlan had 75% of the ball to Necaxa's 25%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 2.23 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Necaxa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mazatlan and 1.83 for Necaxa.

What was the final score of Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Mazatlan 2-1 Necaxa in the Mexico - Primera on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mazatlan vs Necaxa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mazatlan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mazatlan 45%, draw 24%, Necaxa 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mazatlan) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mazatlan) ✗ BTTS No
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