Legionovia Legionowo 1-2 Mlawianka Mlawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legionovia Legionowo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlawianka Mlawa EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legionovia Legionowo
1-2
AWAY Mlawianka Mlawa
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Legionovia Legionowo vs Mlawianka Mlawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlawianka Mlawa squeezed past Legionovia Legionowo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Legionovia Legionowo at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Legionovia Legionowo had 50% of the ball to Mlawianka Mlawa's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Legionovia Legionowo vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

Legionovia Legionowo 1-2 Mlawianka Mlawa in the Poland - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legionovia Legionowo vs Mlawianka Mlawa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legionovia Legionowo win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Legionovia Legionowo 48%, draw 27%, Mlawianka Mlawa 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Legionovia Legionowo), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legionovia Legionowo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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