Unia Swarzedz 0-1 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.1pp
38%
Draw
29%
+9.1pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unia Swarzedz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unia Swarzedz
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
12.08.2023 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce 1-0 HT 1-0 Unia Swarzedz Unia Swarzedz POL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Unia Swarzedz
0-1
AWAY Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Unia Swarzedz vs Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce squeezed past Unia Swarzedz 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 24% / 38% / 38% — and on the day Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Unia Swarzedz had 58% of the ball to Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce's 42%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Unia Swarzedz vs Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce?

Unia Swarzedz 0-1 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce in the Poland - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unia Swarzedz vs Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Unia Swarzedz 24%, draw 38%, Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (24/38/38) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL3 More Poland - 3rd Division
2 Mar 2024
15:00 LKS Goczalkowice Zdroj vs Warta Gorzów Analysis →
15:00 Olimpia Zambrow vs Pelikan Lowicz Analysis →
16:00 Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda Analysis →
16:00 Stilon Gorzow vs Falubaz Zielona Gora Analysis →
16:30 Rekord Bielsko-Biala vs Pawlowice Slaskie Analysis →
17:00 Legionovia Legionowo vs Mlawianka Mlawa Analysis →