Notec Czarnkow 3-1 Polonia Sroda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 3rd Division, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
27%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
4%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
65%
-10.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.0pp
27%
Away Win
14%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Notec Czarnkow EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Sroda EU Bookmakers 17%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
399 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Notec Czarnkow
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Polonia Sroda
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
11.08.2023 Polonia Sroda 1-4 HT 0-3 Notec Czarnkow POL3
POST-MATCH Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Notec Czarnkow saw off Polonia Sroda 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Notec Czarnkow as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda?

Notec Czarnkow 3-1 Polonia Sroda in the Poland - 3rd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Notec Czarnkow vs Polonia Sroda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Notec Czarnkow win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Notec Czarnkow 54%, draw 19%, Polonia Sroda 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Notec Czarnkow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Notec Czarnkow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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