Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 2 Mar 2024

Slask Wroclaw
2-1 HT 0-0
Widzew Lodz
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.24
6+ Goals
7%
32.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.32 — our 39% vs market 36.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.16
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.25
X/1
19%
4.45
X/2
5%
6.55
X/X
16%
3.69
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
20%
5.44
2/X
11%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.1pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.0pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Slask Wroclaw v Widzew Lodz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.34/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.36
-5% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.7 Crosses 18.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.93 xG 0.94
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
262 Passes 375
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-2 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
17.02.2023 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
06.08.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
24.09.2019 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-0 HT 0-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
23.09.2014 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 1-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POLK
12.05.2014 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 1-0 HT 0-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL

Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
2.48 xG 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
271 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw squeezed past Widzew Lodz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Slask Wroclaw made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 43% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 57%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 2.48 to 0.83 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Slask Wroclaw's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slask Wroclaw had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 0.67 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz?

Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 38%, draw 31%, Widzew Lodz 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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