Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Estoril v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Estoril
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
3-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
3-1
HT 1-1
Estoril
POR
Estoril 1-3 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes got the better of Estoril 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Vitoria Guimaraes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Estoril had 62% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 38%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.09 to 0.39 — the balance of chances actually favoured Estoril.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Estoril and 1.83 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Estoril 1-3 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Estoril vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Estoril 39%, draw 27%, Vitoria Guimaraes 34%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.