Moreirense 0-0 Rio Ave — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Moreirense
0-0 HT 0-0
Rio Ave
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Portugal - Premier League – 2023/2024

Moreirense vs Rio Ave Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.28
6+ Goals
8%
33.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.69
X/2
12%
6.08
X/X
18%
3.64
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
8%
4.93
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Moreirense v Rio Ave — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moreirense EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.38/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.54
+1% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.4 Crosses 18.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Moreirense vs Rio Ave Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moreirense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rio Ave
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.63
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 393
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.10.2023 Rio Ave Rio Ave 0-4 HT 0-2 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.07.2023 Moreirense Moreirense 0-2 HT 0-0 Rio Ave Rio Ave HAZ
14.03.2021 Moreirense Moreirense 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
31.10.2020 Rio Ave Rio Ave 2-0 HT 1-0 Moreirense Moreirense POR
12.06.2020 Moreirense Moreirense 0-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave Rio Ave POR
30.10.2019 Rio Ave Rio Ave 1-1 HT 0-1 Moreirense Moreirense POR

Moreirense 0-0 Rio Ave — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moreirense
0-0
AWAY Rio Ave
1.33 xG 0.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
372 Passes 323
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 4
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moreirense vs Rio Ave
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreirense and Rio Ave played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Moreirense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Moreirense had 52% of the ball to Rio Ave's 48%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.33 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rio Ave led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Moreirense and 1.17 for Rio Ave.

What was the final score of Moreirense vs Rio Ave?

Moreirense 0-0 Rio Ave in the Portugal - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Rio Ave?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 41%, draw 33%, Rio Ave 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moreirense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moreirense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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