Kuban Krasnodar 0-2 Shinnik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kuban Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Shinnik EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -23%
1.31/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.64
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Shinnik
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.08.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-0 HT 1-0 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar RUS1
02.04.2023 Kuban Krasnodar Kuban Krasnodar 2-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kuban Krasnodar
0-2
AWAY Shinnik
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kuban Krasnodar vs Shinnik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik beat Kuban Krasnodar 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Kuban Krasnodar at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kuban Krasnodar had 53% of the ball to Shinnik's 47%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kuban Krasnodar and 0.50 for Shinnik.

What was the final score of Kuban Krasnodar vs Shinnik?

Kuban Krasnodar 0-2 Shinnik in the Russia - FNL on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kuban Krasnodar vs Shinnik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kuban Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Kuban Krasnodar 45%, draw 26%, Shinnik 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kuban Krasnodar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kuban Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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