Sokol Saratov 1-0 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.44
No
55%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+0.5pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.9pp
55%
BTTS No
63%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 50%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.71/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.00
-31% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -61% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
224 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sokol Saratov
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Makhachkala
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Makhachkala Makhachkala 2-0 HT 1-0 Sokol Saratov Sokol Saratov RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sokol Saratov
1-0
AWAY Makhachkala
32% Ball Possession 68%
4 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 12
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sokol Saratov vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sokol Saratov squeezed past Makhachkala 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Makhachkala at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Sokol Saratov had 32% of the ball to Makhachkala's 68%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Sokol Saratov vs Makhachkala?

Sokol Saratov 1-0 Makhachkala in the Russia - FNL on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sokol Saratov vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated an Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sokol Saratov 24%, draw 31%, Makhachkala 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Makhachkala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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