Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Torpedo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.2pp
35%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Torpedo Moscow EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
1.45/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.87
+35% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 1-0 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
23.10.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 2-1 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
14.03.2021 Torpedo Moscow Torpedo Moscow 0-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1-0
AWAY Torpedo Moscow
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Torpedo Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Moscow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Yenisey Krasnoyarsk found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk had 62% of the ball to Torpedo Moscow's 38%, shots finished 11-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Moscow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk and 1.00 for Torpedo Moscow.

What was the final score of Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Torpedo Moscow?

Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 1-0 Torpedo Moscow in the Russia - FNL on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk vs Torpedo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yenisey Krasnoyarsk win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 36%, draw 35%, Torpedo Moscow 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yenisey Krasnoyarsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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