İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş. EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
1.68/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.59
-9% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Etimesgut Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
02.04.2023 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. 3-0 HT 1-0 Etimesgut Belediyespor S2-K
23.10.2022 Etimesgut Belediyespor 1-2 HT 0-1 İskenderunspor A.Ş. İskenderunspor A.Ş. S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor A.Ş.
0-1
AWAY Etimesgut Belediyespor
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Etimesgut Belediyespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etimesgut Belediyespor squeezed past İskenderunspor A.Ş. 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was İskenderunspor A.Ş. at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had 63% of the ball to Etimesgut Belediyespor's 37%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İskenderunspor A.Ş. had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İskenderunspor A.Ş. and 0.33 for Etimesgut Belediyespor.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

İskenderunspor A.Ş. 0-1 Etimesgut Belediyespor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor A.Ş. vs Etimesgut Belediyespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a İskenderunspor A.Ş. win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor A.Ş. 54%, draw 23%, Etimesgut Belediyespor 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İskenderunspor A.Ş.) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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