Denizlispor 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
55%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.6pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
61%
-6.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denizlispor EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 66%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
242 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Denizlispor
0W-0D-1L
AWAY GMG Kastamonuspor
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
18.10.2023 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 2-0 HT 1-0 Denizlispor Denizlispor S2-K
POST-MATCH Denizlispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor nicked a narrow win over Denizlispor 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had GMG Kastamonuspor as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Denizlispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Denizlispor 1-2 GMG Kastamonuspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denizlispor vs GMG Kastamonuspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Denizlispor 23%, draw 23%, GMG Kastamonuspor 55%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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