68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0-1 24Erzincanspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
42%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.38
Over 2.5
39%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.4pp
42%
Away Win
33%
+8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
69%
-7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
31%
+7.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.80
-20% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +54%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
1W-0D-2L
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
7 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
18.10.2023 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 1-0 HT 0-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor S2-K
25.07.2020 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-1 HT 1-0 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor S3-1P
01.03.2020 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 HT 1-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S3-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 68 Aksaray Belediyespor
0-1
AWAY 24Erzincanspor
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs 24Erzincanspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24Erzincanspor squeezed past 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had 24Erzincanspor as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, 68 Aksaray Belediyespor had 59% of the ball to 24Erzincanspor's 41%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, 24Erzincanspor led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor and 1.00 for 24Erzincanspor.

What was the final score of 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs 24Erzincanspor?

68 Aksaray Belediyespor 0-1 24Erzincanspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Kırmızı Grup on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 68 Aksaray Belediyespor vs 24Erzincanspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an 24Erzincanspor win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split 68 Aksaray Belediyespor 29%, draw 29%, 24Erzincanspor 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (24Erzincanspor), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (24Erzincanspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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