02/03/2024
·
15:35
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
1-0
Al Najoom vs Mudhar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
6%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Al Najoom win — 62% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
62%
Home Win
68%
21%
Draw
21%
17%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najoom v Mudhar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Najoom
The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mudhar
The Market 14%
-75% /
-75%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+38% /
+38%
0.00/4.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.50/1.51
-100%
/
-65%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+11%
/
-6%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
2
418 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
244 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Al Najoom vs Mudhar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najoom squeezed past Mudhar 2-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Najoom as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
What was the final score of Al Najoom vs Mudhar?
Al Najoom 2-1 Mudhar in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najoom vs Mudhar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najoom win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Najoom 62%, draw 21%, Mudhar 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najoom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Najoom)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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