02/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Najran vs Al Rawdhah Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
Over
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
43%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
54%
26%
Draw
27%
19%
Away Win
18%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Najran v Al Rawdhah — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Najran
The Market 58%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al Rawdhah
The Market 21%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-14% /
-14%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/0.98
+54%
/
+29%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+42%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
260 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Najran vs Al Rawdhah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Rawdhah nicked a narrow win over Najran 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Najran at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.
What was the final score of Najran vs Al Rawdhah?
Najran 0-1 Al Rawdhah in the Saudi Arabia - 2nd Division on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Najran vs Al Rawdhah?
Before kick-off our model rated a Najran win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Najran 54%, draw 26%, Al Rawdhah 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Najran) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Najran)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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