Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.93
6+ Goals
13%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.65
X/1
17%
4.16
X/2
6%
11.25
X/X
11%
5.81
2/1
13%
21.45
2/2
12%
8.85
2/X
6%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.1pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.88/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.90
-4% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
31.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
27.3 Crosses 23.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 1.26
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 276
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
24 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.07.2024 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-1 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİNSL
06.04.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-3 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
29.09.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 2-2 HT 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
08.06.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
08.07.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 HT 1-0 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
16.06.2022 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-1 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chengdu Qianbao
1-2
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.99 xG 0.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
455 Passes 292
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
41 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tianjin Teda nicked a narrow win over Chengdu Qianbao 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Chengdu Qianbao had 59% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 41%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.99 to 0.78 — the balance of chances actually favoured Chengdu Qianbao.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chengdu Qianbao and 1.17 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda?

Chengdu Qianbao 1-2 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chengdu Qianbao vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chengdu Qianbao 55%, draw 23%, Tianjin Teda 22%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →