Aston Villa (K) 0-2 Everton (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.66
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
56%
-15.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.7pp
31%
Away Win
22%
+8.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.4pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Everton (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.16/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.53
-20% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -72% / -20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.0 Crosses 22.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Everton (K)
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
422 Passes 322
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.01.2025 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
16.03.2024 Everton (K) Everton (K) 1-2 HT 0-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
0-2
AWAY Everton (K)
0.78 xG 0.79
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
458 Passes 275
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs Everton (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Everton (K) got the better of Aston Villa (K) 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Everton (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 59% of the ball to Everton (K)'s 41%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 0.78 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aston Villa (K) had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aston Villa (K) and 1.00 for Everton (K).

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Everton (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 0-2 Everton (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Everton (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 40%, draw 29%, Everton (K) 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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