Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 Chelsea (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.95
Draw
26%
5.71
Away
58%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
43%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
10%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
14%
+11.7pp
58%
Away Win
76%
-18.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 81%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.25/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/0.60
+53% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +14%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
180 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
7.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 51.3
7.0 Crosses 28.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Chelsea (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.16 xG 2.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 7
196 Passes 432
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 46
11 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.12.2024 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 4-2 HT 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
15.09.2019 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
09.12.2018 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 0-4 HT 0-0 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) İNKPL
30.09.2018 Chelsea (K) Chelsea (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2-2
AWAY Chelsea (K)
1.83 xG 1.81
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
232 Passes 455
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
29 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Chelsea (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and Chelsea (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Chelsea (K) carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) had 38% of the ball to Chelsea (K)'s 62%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.83 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Chelsea (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) and 2.75 for Chelsea (K).

What was the final score of Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 2-2 Chelsea (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brighton & Hove Albion (K) vs Chelsea (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 16%, draw 26%, Chelsea (K) 58%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Chelsea (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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