Avellino 2-1 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.03
No
52%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.99
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
27%
3.51
6+ Goals
8%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
62%
-8.2pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
15%
+5.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avellino EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +22%
1.51/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.22
-13% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avellino
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Juventus II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Juventus II Juventus II 0-3 HT 0-1 Avellino Avellino İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avellino
2-1
AWAY Juventus II
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avellino vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avellino squeezed past Juventus II 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avellino as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Avellino had 47% of the ball to Juventus II's 53%, shots finished 6-5.

What was the final score of Avellino vs Juventus II?

Avellino 2-1 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avellino vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Avellino 54%, draw 25%, Juventus II 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avellino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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