SS Monopoli 2-1 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.29
No
57%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.1pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SS Monopoli EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.60/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.60
-7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
414 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SS Monopoli
3W-2D-1L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
22.12.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 1-1 HT 1-1 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
04.03.2023 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
30.10.2022 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-0 HT 1-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
22.02.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-1 HT 1-0 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli İTC
12.09.2021 SS Monopoli SS Monopoli 2-1 HT 1-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SS Monopoli
2-1
AWAY ACR Messina
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SS Monopoli vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SS Monopoli nicked a narrow win over ACR Messina 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SS Monopoli as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, SS Monopoli had 60% of the ball to ACR Messina's 40%, shots finished 14-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SS Monopoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for SS Monopoli and 0.67 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of SS Monopoli vs ACR Messina?

SS Monopoli 2-1 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SS Monopoli vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a SS Monopoli win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split SS Monopoli 53%, draw 23%, ACR Messina 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SS Monopoli) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SS Monopoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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