Catania 1-1 Foggia Calcio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.91
6+ Goals
8%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-6.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.0pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catania EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.13/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.55
-13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catania
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Foggia Calcio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
20.10.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-2 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
02.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
25.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
20.03.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 5-1 HT 5-0 Catania Catania İTC
14.11.2021 Catania Catania 1-2 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
09.05.2021 Catania Catania 1-3 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catania
1-1
AWAY Foggia Calcio
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catania vs Foggia Calcio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania and Foggia Calcio shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Catania at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Catania had 50% of the ball to Foggia Calcio's 50%, shots finished 6-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catania and 2.50 for Foggia Calcio.

What was the final score of Catania vs Foggia Calcio?

Catania 1-1 Foggia Calcio in the Italy - Serie C on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catania vs Foggia Calcio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Catania 50%, draw 25%, Foggia Calcio 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Catania), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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