Foggia Calcio 2-2 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.18
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 38%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -14%
1.47/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.22
+26% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Catania
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2024 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Catania Catania İTC
25.09.2023 Catania Catania 0-2 HT 0-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
20.03.2022 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 5-1 HT 5-0 Catania Catania İTC
14.11.2021 Catania Catania 1-2 HT 1-0 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
09.05.2021 Catania Catania 1-3 HT 0-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTC
02.05.2021 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-2 HT 2-1 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
2-2
AWAY Catania
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio and Catania couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 38% of the ball to Catania's 62%, shots finished 5-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foggia Calcio had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Catania?

Foggia Calcio 2-2 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 35%, draw 30%, Catania 35%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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