A. Bilbao (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.71
Draw
33%
3.8
Away
33%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+15.0pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.1pp
33%
Away Win
58%
-25.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 62%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.65/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.52
-53% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +27%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
10.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
10.4 Crosses 16.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.24 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
342 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
9 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
22.09.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 2-0 HT 2-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
09.06.2024 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 A. Bilbao (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
27.01.2024 A. Bilbao (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Madrid (K) Real Madrid (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME A. Bilbao (K)
1-2
AWAY Real Madrid (K)
0.98 xG 1.96
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 26
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
342 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid (K) squeezed past A. Bilbao (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Madrid (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, A. Bilbao (K) had 46% of the ball to Real Madrid (K)'s 54%, shots finished 4-26, expected goals 0.98 to 1.96.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Madrid (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for A. Bilbao (K) and 1.33 for Real Madrid (K).

What was the final score of A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

A. Bilbao (K) 1-2 Real Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for A. Bilbao (K) vs Real Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a A. Bilbao (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split A. Bilbao (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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