U. Catolica 1-0 Deportes Iquique — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportes Iquique EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.28/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.79
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.1 Crosses 17.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportes Iquique
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.11 xG 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
354 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
14.04.2024 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 2-3 HT 1-2 U. Catolica ŞİL
27.06.2021 U. Catolica 4-4 HT 1-2 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİLİK
23.06.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 1-1 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİLİK
08.01.2021 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique 0-1 HT 0-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
22.02.2020 U. Catolica 3-1 HT 2-0 Deportes Iquique Deportes Iquique ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
1-0
AWAY Deportes Iquique
1.93 xG 0.31
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
417 Passes 222
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Deportes Iquique 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had U. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 62% of the ball to Deportes Iquique's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.93 to 0.31 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold U. Catolica's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for U. Catolica and 1.67 for Deportes Iquique.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique?

U. Catolica 1-0 Deportes Iquique in the Chile - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs Deportes Iquique?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 41%, draw 26%, Deportes Iquique 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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